2013年1月31日木曜日

The dispute over “Northern Territories” or “Southern Kurils”



Recent state of the Japanese-Russian relations focusing on the
dispute over “Northern Territories” or “Southern Kurils”
  

Ø  Outline
Chapter.1 Origins of the dispute, Brief History
Chapter.2 Dispute dimensions; Political, Economic, Psychological, and Cultural
Chapter.3 Impact on bilateral economic relations
Chapter.4 Overview of dispute solutions
Chapter.5 Future prospects of Japanese-Russian relations


Chapter.1 Origins of the dispute, Brief History
   First of all I would like to discuss the basic information of the “Northern Territories” of Japan or “Southern Kurils” of Russia. The Northern Territories is four islands composed of Etorofu, Kunashiri, Shikotan and from Habomai isles. They located in the north side off Hokkaido island of Japan. There are residents in these islands, except Habomai isles, and the total population of the three islands is approximately 1,5000, which is citizenship of Russian.

[The size and population of islands]
Etorofu    : 3,184.0 / 8,300
Kunashiri : 1,498.8 / 3,900
Shikotan  : 250.2  / 2,300
Habomai
*Source: “Wareware no hopporyodo”
         Our north Islands
         「我々の北方領土」
   Bilateral diplomatic relations began in the Edo period. However, the “Northern Territorial” dispute began after the WW. According to the “Our north Islands”( Wareware no hopporyodo”「我々の北方領土」) issued by MOFA in 2011, Before WW, in 1644, Matsumae prefecture of Japan govern the Kunashiri and Etorofu, and made a map of these islands as Japanese territories. In 1855, the Edo era in Japan, Japan and Russia made a treaty, and, at that time, Russian Ambassador Vladimir Putin treated Etorofu as a territory of Japan. After that, in 1875, the Sakhalin Kuril exchange treaty was signed between Japan and Russia. In this treaty, Kuril Islands are composed of Etorofu, Kunashiri, from Shikotan and Habomai. In this time, they became the territory of Japan officially.
   However, after WW, in the Yalta Conference, “An Declaration” have been issued. In the declaration, Japan has to return the territories which Japan has plundered in the WW, the islands in the Pacific Ocean, Manchuria, Taiwan, Penghu island, Korean Peninsula and all other regions which Japan plundered by violence and greed.” The Kuril Islands have been “returned” to Russia because of this declaration in the Yalta Conference. However, as I mentioned in this document, Japan didn’t plunder these islands “by violence and greed”. Territory rights of the Kuril Islands are defined in the Sakhalin Kuril exchange treaty in 1875. These are the stories of Japanese side.
  On the other hand, According to the Ministry of foreign affairs of Russia, in press release on the issue of Southern Kuril Islands which released on 25-06-2012, it describe bellow, “Due to the statements of Japanese officials published by mass media that possible visits of representatives of Russian government to the Southern Kuril Islands would contradict to the position of Tokyo in the so-called “territorial issue,” the following should be mentioned. The Southern Kuril Islands are an integral part of the Russian Federation. The comments from abroad regarding the transportation of the Russian government in the territory of their own country are at least inappropriate.” At the side of Russia, The Southern Kuril Islands are definitely part of Russia, and this is all. In this way, this problem is antagonistic.

Chapter.2 Dispute dimensions; Political, Economic, Psychological, and Cultural
    This paper will discuss the following 3 dimension of the dispute Political, Economic, Psychological, and Cultural.
    First, politically, it can’t be said that the Japanese-Russian relationship has been good. The main cause is complex and that has been dividing the two countries for more than 60 years and peace treaty hasn’t been agreed.
   One of the reasons why the bilateral problem hasn’t solved or the relation hasn’t been more better is Japanese political problem. The instability of the Japanese government prevents to resolve diplomacy problem. in this decade, the Prime Minister of Japan has been changed 8 times. The change of the Prime Minister means the change of cabinet and, of course, it means the change Minister of Foreign Affairs. Since their Stance on issues Japan-Russia relations and the priority of policy are different for the cabinet at that time, the discussion on foreign affairs don’t develop. Recently, this trend has appeared vividly. On November, 2012 Japanese former Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda has postponed a visit to Russia planned for next month citing President Vladimir Putin's health problems, Kyodo and Jiji news, Japanese media reported. According to this article, in the meeting, it planed to be discussed about the official energy cooperation and a decades-old dispute over islands north of Hokkaido, known as Kurile in Russia and referred to as the Northern Territories in Japan. As we can be seen in such attitude of Russia, the instability of the Japanese government is absolutely problem and one of the reason which prevent to solve the problem and friendship between the two countries.
    On the other hands, there is also an attempt to solve these Japanese political problems. That is the diplomacy by former Prime Minister Mori. In 2001 the then Prime Minister, Mr. Mori signed a statement of Irkutsk with Mr Putin, confirming the validity of the Japan-Soviet Joint Declaration was stated Habomai, the return of two islands Shikotan. Former Prime Minister Mori that is influential in diplomacy with Russia, was appointed special envoy to Russia last year. Japanese media have reported the news with a sense of anticipation.
    Second, economically, there are no major problems between the two countries at present. Rather, we are currently trying to build a cooperative relationship. The other day, President Putin said, ”I intend to exchange opinions on the possibility of cooperation between Japan and Russia on a wide range of issues, such as cooperation in the Far East and Siberia, energy and energy conservation”, reported in Japan Times by Kyodo, Japan. And the Gemba, former Minister of Foreign Affairs said, at the press conference, ”Though the trade volume of Russia and Japan was $ 30.7 billion which is the highest records last year, it is not enough judging from the economic potential force. We want to make much more success cases of cooperation, and raise the reliability of Japanese companies in the Russian market.”
     As both countries said such positive speech, Japan and Russia are also so positive to cooperate on the economic aspect. As it shows, On November 20, the 10th Meeting of the Japan-Russia Intergovernmental Committee on Trade and Economic Issues was held at Iikura Guesthouse for approximately two and a half hours. Subsequently, a signing ceremony, a joint press conference, and a dinner were held. In this way, the stance of Russia-Japanese economic cooperation is positive, and it is a bright prospect.
For the advantages of to be an economic partner, I would like to discuss them at the 3rd chapter.
    The third dimension of dispute is psychological, and Cultural situation. In this part, I would like to discuss about the psychological, and Cultural situation about the problem of “Northern Territories” or “Southern Kurils” in the each countries.
   In a present, the problem consciousness on the “Northern Territories” or the “Southern Kurils” isn’t different so much. The number of the people who are interested in this bilateral problem isn’t high in each country.
Rather, public awareness of both countries is positive each other.

Chapter.3 Impact on bilateral economic relations
    As I mention even in before chapter ahead, in this chapter, I would like to discuss about the economical cooperation of Russia-Japan, and its relation with territorial dispute.
   In recent years, there has been deepening of Japan-Russia relations on the economic. I have mentioned in the previous chapter, Russia and Japan have discussed the Japan-Russia Intergovernmental Committee on Trade and Economic Issues at the meeting. It is also one of the tendencies to be established following organization in 2007. Russian-Japanese Business Council (РОССИЙСКО-ЯПОНСКИЙ ДЕЛОВОЙ СОВЕТ: http://www.rus-jpn.com/about_us/index.html ) which was built by the Russian Federation Chamber of Commerce and Industry. The Council was built in order to activate the business of the Russia and Japan. For instance, the council has three purposes. First one is to grant the environment healthy and innovative capital investment environment for Japanese companies operating in Russia or for Russian companies operating in Japan. Second one is development of new partnerships with Japan, in particular, the development of the relationship between Russian local government and business and Japanese local government and business. And third one is to develop the infrastructure which makes an unique interaction of all business, including small and medium enterprises. In this way, Japan and Russia with each other are very aggressive for economic cooperation.
   Next I would like to look at concrete figures about economic growth.  According to the date of MFA of Japan, in 2009, total trade was $ 12.1 billion. However, in 2011,it grew to $ 30.7 billion. In the past three years, imports and exports of Japan and Russia have both grown to about three times.
As the contents of trade, food-related, of course, imports of raw materials such as iron and steel has been increasing. In Japan Expo 2012 held in Moscow last year, 68 Japanese companies also exhibited things. According to the mechanism of the Russo-Japanese trade and investment promotion, it is expected that the trade rete of resources and energy relations will rise even more in the future.

Chapter.4 Overview of dispute solutions
  
  It is crucial for both Japan and Russia to solve their understanding territorial dispute and other problems as soon as possible.
  However, in terms of territorial issues, there are several choices towards resolution. To integrate the content that I have research and discussed so far in this document, the resolutions are classified into the following three types.
First one is the plan to return all the four northern islands to Japan. Second one is to propos that the territory of the Russian island two islands to Japan two of the four islands as those of Russia. And the third plan is to conclude a peace treaty as the four northern islands are belongs to Russian territory
   The first plan isn’t a very realistic proposal. As a reason for the treaty in the past, Japan slide into negotiations so as to return in force posture certainly is possible. If the four northern islands be returned if the fishery resources around the Northern Territory is blessed with those of Japan.
It is also likely to be discovered natural resources has not been yet found.
However, this plan is ideal too, negotiations so far as was the case, it would be difficult to advance the discussion.
   A second proposal would be highly feasible plan compared to the first one.
I was also mentioned in the previous chapter, there is also a statement of Irkutsk in 2001, it would be easy to draft negotiating under Mr.Mori, a specially appointed ambassador.
   The third proposal is highly feasible current situation. This means that Japan give up the negotiation of the four northern islands, and, signed a peace treaty with Russia. And, Government will focus on economic cooperation with Russia as soon as possible. It is one of the rational choice for Japan and Russia.
   Even if Japan will take any choice, I want to emphasize that the most important things is next three points. These are “The cooperation on economic”, “Not to do stick to the return as nation”, and making steady progress in the discussion continuously and sustainably.

Chapter.5 Future prospects of Japanese-Russian relations

    Finally, I would like to discuss about the future prospects of Japanese-Russian relations. As I have mentioned so far, now, the economic activity in Japan and Russia is very active and great prospect. I think that in order to realize the great prospect, it is so important how both nation’s supports the economic activity by their diplomacy.






Ø  Bibliography
I.         Official sources
  1)『我々の北方領土』MOFA 2011(『Warewareno Hoppouryodo
   our north islands

  2) Home page of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
-Main page

-Announcement of
http://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/announce/2012/11/1120_06.html

  3) Home page of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
-Main page
http://www.mid.ru/brp_4.nsf/main_eng



II.       Book sources
    1) 佐藤優(Satou Suguru) 著 
      『国家の罠 -外務省のラスプーチンと呼ばれて-Tokyo
       新潮社 (2005/3/26)
    (『Kokka no Wana Gaimusyo no Rasputin to yobarete-』)
       Trap of the nation- Rasputin of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs -

    2) 下斗米伸夫(Shimotomai Nobuo) 著
     『北方領土Q&A80 Tokyo小学館 (1999/12)
    (Hopporyodo Q&A80)
   「Q & A of “Northern Territories”

    3) 木村(Hiroshi Kimura) / Translated by Mark Ealey
    The Kurillian Knot Stanford University Press 2008
 
    4) Gilbert Rozman 
  『Japan and Russia: The Tortuous Path to Normalization, 1949-1999
   Palgrave Macmillan (2000/5/5)

III.     Media sources
  1) “Japan, Russia to Work on Ties”, September 6,2012
  The Wall Street Journal
 
  2) “Russia, Japan back LNG; could delay export pipelines”
   Yahoo News |Katya Golubkova and Denis Pinchuk | Sep 8, 2012

  3) “Japan PM postpones Russia trip due to Putin’s health problems-media”
   Reuters |Tokyo, Nov 30 2012
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/30/us-japan-russia-idUSBRE8AT0BP20121130

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